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Despite the scepticism raised by the German Monopoly Commission our analysis shows that the revised theory of contestable markets can be applied to the telecommunications market better than expected. The original contestable market theory implied three assumptions necessary to be satisfied to establish potential competition: Free market entry, market exits possible without any costs, and the price adjustment lag exceeds the entry lag. Our analysis shows that if the incumbent reduces its prices slowly (high adjustment lag) and the market entry can be performed quickly (low entry lag), a new competitor will be able to earn back sunk costs. Therefore it is not necessary that all three conditions are complied with for potential competition to exist. We applied the 'revised' contestable market theory to the German telecommunication market and have been able to clearly identify the sections in which regulation is required. Under the present conditions local loops - which should be seen as natural monopolies - are not contestable due to sunk costs, high entry lags expected and a probable short price adjustment lag. Local loops can be identified as bottlenecks therefore. Regional and local connection networks should also be regulated because a high entry lag and a low price adjustment lag have to be expected as well as current competition does not exist today. The national connection network shows current competition between several network providers, hence regulation can be abolished in this field. Moreover, services can be supplied by several firms, and we predict strong potential competition.. There are no arguments favouring a natural monopoly in the section of terminals.
Many public goods are characterized by rivalry and/or excludability. This paper introduces both non-excludable and excludable public inputs into a simple endogenous growth model. We derive the equilibrium growth rate and design the optimal tax and user-cost structure. Our results emphasize the role of congestion in determining this optimal financing structure and the consequences this has in turn for the government’s budget. The latter consists of fee and tax revenues that are used to finance the entire public production input and that may or may not suffice to finance the entire public input, depending upon the degree of congestion. We extend the model to allow for monopoly pricing of the user fee by the government. Most of the analysis is conducted for general production functions consistent with endogenous growth, although the case of CES technology is also considered.
While the role of exports in promoting growth in general, and productivity in particular, has been investigated empirically using aggregate data for countries and industries for a long time, only recently have comprehensive longitudinal data at the firm level been used to look at the extent and causes of productivity differentials between exporters and their counterparts which sell on the domestic market only. This papers surveys the empirical strategies applied, and the results produced, in 45 microeconometric studies with data from 33 countries that were published between 1995 and 2004. Details aside, exporters are found to be more productive than non-exporters, and the more productive firms self-select into export markets, while exporting does not necessarily improve productivity.
This paper discusses the emergence of endogenous redistributive cycles in a stochastic growth model with incomplete asset markets and heterogeneous agents, where agents vote on the degree of progressivity in the taxñtransferñscheme. The model draws from BÈnabou (1996) and ties the bias in the distribution of political power to the degree of inequality in the society, thereby triggering redistributive cycles which then give rise to a nonlinear, cyclical pattern of savings rates, growth and inequality over time.
This paper investigates the redistributive effects of taxation on occupational choice and growth. We discuss a twoñsector economy in the spirit of Romer (1990). Agents engage in one of two alternative occupations: either selfñemployment in an intermediate goods sector characterized by monopolistic competition, or employment as an ordinary worker in this sector. Entrepreneurial pro_ts are stochastic. The occupational choice under risk endogenizes the number of _rms in the intermediate goods industry. While the presence of entrepreneurial risk results in a suboptimally low number of _rms and depresses growth, nonñlinear tax schemes are partly capable of compensating the negative by effects by ex post providing a social insurance.
This paper presents the first empirical test with German establishment level data of a hypothesis derived by Helpman, Melitz and Yeaple in a model that explains the decision of heterogeneous firms to serve foreign markets either trough exports or foreign direct investment: only the more productive firms choose to serve the foreign markets, and the most productive among this group will further choose to serve these markets via foreign direct investments. Using a non-parametric test for first order stochastic dominance it is shown that, in line with this hypothesis, the productivity distribution of foreign direct investors dominates that of exporters, which in turn dominates that of national market suppliers.
This paper analyzes conditions for existence of a strongly rational expectations equilibrium (SREE) in models with private information, where the amount of private information is endogenously determined. It is shown that the conditions for existence of a SREE known from models with exogenously given private information do not change as long as it is impossible to use the information transmitted through market prices. In contrast, these conditions are too weak, when there is such learning from prices. It turns out that the properties of the function which describes the costs that are associated with the individual acquisition of information are important in this respect. In case of constant marginal costs, prices must be half as informative than private signals in order for a SREE to exist. An interpretation of this result that falls back on the famous Grossman–Stiglitz–Paradox is also given.
Using representative data from the German social survey ALLBUS 2002 and the European Social Survey 2002/03, this paper provides the first empirical analysis of trade union never-membership in Germany. We show that between 54 and 59 percent of all employees in Germany have never been members of a trade union. Individuals’ probability of never-membership is significantly affected by their personal characteristics (in particular age, education and status at work), their political orientation and (to a lesser degree) their family background, and by broad location. In addition, occupational and workplace characteristics play a significant role. Most important in this regard is the presence of a union at the workplace.
In dieser Arbeit werden mögliche Auswirkungen des deutschen Schwerbehindertengesetzes auf die Arbeitsplatzdynamik anhand von Daten einer Vollerhebung davon betroffener Arbeitgeber durch die Bundesagentur für Arbeit und von Daten des IAB-Betriebspanels empirisch überprüft. Dabei wird aus Gründen der Verfügbarkeit geeigneter Daten die zweite Schwelle des Gesetzes von 25 Beschäftigten untersucht, bei deren Überschreiten die Betriebe im Untersuchungszeitraum 1999/2000 zwei Arbeitsplätze mit Schwerbehinderten besetzen oder eine Ausgleichsabgabe zahlen mussten. Sowohl deskriptive als auch multivariate Analysen deuten darauf hin, dass das Beschäftigungswachstum leicht gebremst wird, wenn Betriebe kurz vor dieser Schwelle stehen und nicht ausreichend Schwerbehinderte beschäftigen (also beim Überschreiten der Schwelle eine Ausgleichsabgabe zahlen müssten). Allerdings gibt es keine Anzeichen dafür, dass Betriebe in einer entsprechenden Situation hinter der Schwelle stärker Beschäftigung abbauen, um diese zu unterschreiten und damit die Abgabe zu vermeiden.
Die ökonomischen Implikationen einer verstärkten Migration deutscher Unternehmen nach Osteuropa und Asien werden derzeit intensiv diskutiert. Wichtige wirtschaftliche Akteure sind KMU des verarbeitenden Gewerbes, die zum einen Elemente komplexer Wertschöpfungsketten bilden, zum anderen häufig durch Produktdifferenzierung die Märkte jeder Lieferstufe gestalten. Das vorliegende Papier soll in dieser Diskussion einen Beitrag aus Sicht der Neuen Ökonomischen Geographie leisten. In einem partialanalytischen Modell wird untersucht, welchen Einfluss das Spannungsfeld von Produktions- und Transportkosten auf die Standortwahl der Unternehmen ausübt und welche Parameterkonstellationen industrielle Agglomeration fördern bzw. behindern. In diesem Zuge wird das Modell von Venables (1996) um standortdifferenzierte Technologien erweitert und im Rahmen einer Simulation auf Unternehmen des metallerzeugenden und -verarbeitenden Gewerbes übertragen.
Der Bericht stellt die Kernergebnisse einer Befragung zum Expatriate-Management von 31 deutschen Unternehmen vor. Behandelt werden die Themen Auswahl von Expatriates, Vorbereitung, Training und Begleitung, Fluktuation im Kontext der Entsendung und zukünftig erwartete Entwicklungen im Expatriate-Management.
Many plant-level studies find that average wages in exporting firms are higher than in non-exporting firms from the same industry and region. This paper uses a large set of linked employer-employee data from Germany to analyze this exporter wage premium. We show that the wage differential becomes smaller but does not completely vanish when observable and unobservable characteristics of the employees and of the work place are controlled for. For example, blue-collar (white-collar) employees working in a plant with an export-sales ratio of 60 percent earn about 1.8 (0.9) percent more than similar employees in otherwise identical non-exporting plants.
This paper discusses the interdependencies that exist between vertically-linked industries in the (Spence-)Dixit-Stiglitz model of monopolistic competition. The main objective is to develop a concept for quantifying the magnitude of sectoral coherence in models of the New Economic Geography. It is motivated by the suggestion, by Venables (1996), that 'strategic industries' be identi®ed in terms of their agglomeration potential. Using a partial-analytic approach, we focus on inter-industrial relations in a closed economy to draw conclusions regarding international trade. We ascertain that two factors have an impact upon the strength of industrial linkages: 1) the monopolistic scope of intermediate suppliers, in terms of (technical) substitution elasticity; and the share in downstream costs for intermediates. Within a simulation study, this paper applies this new theoretical concept to eight basic industries across ten European countries.
In the course of railway reforms at the end of the last century, European national governments, as well the EU Commission, decided to open markets and to separate railway networks from train operations. Vertically integrated railway companies argue that such a separation of infrastructure and operations would diminish the advantages of vertical integration and would therefore not be suitable to raise economic welfare. In this paper, we conduct a pan-European analysis to investigate the performance of European railways with a particular focus on economies of scope associated with vertical integration. We test the hypothesis that integrated railways realize economies of joint production and, thus, produce railway services on a higher level of e±ciency. To determine whether joint or separate production is more e±cient we apply an innovative Data Envelopment Analysis super-e±ciency bootstrapping model which relates the e±ciency for integrated production to a virtual reference set consisting of the separated production technology and which is applicable to other network industries as energy and telecommunication as well. Our ¯ndings are that for a majority of European Railway companies economies of scope exist.
An empirical analysis of various waves of the ALLBUS social survey shows that union density fell substantially in western Germany from 1980 to 2004 and in eastern Germany from 1992 to 2004. Such a negative trend can be observed for men and women and for different groups of the workforce. Regression estimates indicate that the probability of union membership is related to a number of personal and occupational variables such as age, public sector employment and being a blue collar worker (significant in western Germany only). A decomposition analysis shows that differences in union density over time and between eastern and western Germany to a large degree cannot be explained by differences in the characteristics of employees. Contrary to wide-spread perceptions, changes in the composition of the workforce seem to have played a minor role in the fall in union density in western and eastern Germany.
This paper analyzes the growth impact of fiscal and institutional governmental policies in a regional context. The government provides a productive input that is complementary to private capital. Institutional policies include the decision about the type of public input as well as on the size of the region as determined by the number of firms. Fiscal policies decide on the extent of the public input. Private capital accumulation incurs adjustment costs that depend upon the ratio between private and public investment. After deriving the decentralized equilibrium, fiscal and institutional policies as well as their interdependencies and welfare implications are discussed. Due to the feedback effects both policies may not be determined independently. It is also shown that depending on the region’s size different types of the public input maximize growth.
This paper develops the concept of converging institutions and applies it to nanotechnologies. Starting point are economic and sociological perspectives. We focus on the entire innovation process of nanotechnologies beginning with research and development over di_usion via downstream sectors until implementation in final goods. The concept is applied to the nano–cluster in the metropolitan region of Grenoble and a possible converging institution is identified.
Das Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Lüneburg legt hiermit seinen ersten eigenständigen Forschungsbericht vor. Seit 1999 erschien unser Bericht als Teil des Forschungsberichts des Fachbereichs Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften; dieser Bericht wurde nach dem Berichtsjahr 2005 eingestellt, da der Fachbereich seit 2006 Teil der neuen Fakultät II ist. Für die Fakultät II ist bisher kein solcher ausführlich informierender Forschungsbericht vorgesehen.
Viele Regelungen im deutschen Arbeitsrecht gelten nur für Betriebe ab einer bestimmten Größe, wobei derartige Schwellen meist anhand der Beschäftigtenzahl bestimmt werden. Die bestehenden 160 Schwellenwerte sind komplex und inkonsistent definiert, was ihre Beachtung durch die Firmen erschwert. Darüber hinaus kann das Überschreiten einer Schwelle zu zusätzlichen Kosten für die Firma führen, wie z.B. die Errichtung eines Betriebsrates oder die Zahlung einer Abgabe für die Nichtbeschäftigung von Schwerbehinderten. Obwohl die empirische Evidenz nicht eindeutig ist, deuten einige Studien darauf hin, dass Firmen das Überschreiten von Schwellenwerten bewusst vermeiden und der Beschäftigungsaufbau dadurch gedämpft wird. Um diese Transaktionskosten und Nebenwirkungen zu vermeiden, machen wir verschiedene Vorschläge zur Vereinfachung und Vereinheitlichung der Schwellenwertregelungen.
Using unique recently released nationally representative high-quality longitudinal data at the plant level, this paper presents the first comprehensive evidence on the relationship between exports and productivity for Germany, a leading actor on the world market for manufactured goods. It applies and extends the now standard approach from the international literature to document that the positive productivity differential of exporters compared to non-exporters is statistically significant, and substantial, even when observed firm characteristics and unobserved firm specific effects are controlled for. For West German plants (but not for East German plants) some empirical evidence for self-selection of more productive firms into export markets is found. There is no evidence for the hypothesis that plants which start to export perform better in the three years after the start than their counterparts which do not start to sell their products on the world market. Results for West Germany support the hypothesis that the productivity differential between exporters and nonexporters is at least in part the result of a market driven selection process in which those export starters that have low productivity at starting time fail as a successful exporter in the years after the start, and only those that were more productive at starting time continue to export.
Using unique new data and a recently introduced non-linear decomposition technique this paper shows that the huge difference in the propensity to export between West and East German plants is to a large part due to differences in firm size and human capital intensity.
Nach einer mehrjährigen Konsolidierungsphase konnte die deutsche Biotechnologiebranche zunehmend Marktanteile im internationalen Wettbewerb gewinnen. Derzeitig werden zwei Entwicklungen innerhalb der Branche intensiv diskutiert: die Osterweiterung der Europäischen Union und die zunehmende wirtschaftlich-technologische Bedeutung der Schwellenländer, allen voran Indien und China. Hierbei sind folgende Fragestellungen von besonderem Interesse: Ist mit einer Verstärkung des internationalen Branchenwettbewerbs zu rechnen? Wie positioniert sich Deutschland? Welche Rolle spielen Absatz-, Forschungs- und Produktionsbedingungen in den Erweiterungs- und Schwellenländern? Welche Implikationen folgen für die deutsche Technologie- und Standortpolitik? Die vorliegende Arbeit fasst die Ergebnisse einer Unternehmensbefragung zusammen, die durch die Abteilung Innovation und Wachstum im Frühjahr 2006 durchgeführt wurde.
This paper examines the effects of credit market imperfections and idiosyncratic risks on occupational choice, capital accumulation, as well as on the income and wealth distribution in a two sector heterogeneous agent general equilibrium model. Workers and firm owners are subject to idiosyncratic shocks. Entrepreneurship is the riskier occupation. Compared to an economy with perfect capital markets, we find for the case of serially correlated shocks that more individuals choose the entrepreneurial profession in the presence of credit constraints, and that the fluctuation between occupations increases too. Workers and entrepreneurs with high individual productivity tend to remain in their present occupation, whereas low productivity individuals are more likely to switch between professions. Interestingly, these results reverse if we assume iid shocks, thus indicating that the nature of the underlying shocks plays an important role for the general equilibrium effects. In general, the likelihood of entrepreneurship increases with individual wealth.
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Abstract: A recent survey of 54 micro-econometric studies reveals that exporting firms are more productive than non-exporters. On the other hand, previous empirical studies show that exporting does not necessarily improve productivity. One possible reason for this result is that most previous studies are restricted to analysing the relationship between a firm’s export status and the growth of its labour productivity, using the firms’ export status as a binary treatment variable and comparing the performance of exporting and non-exporting firms. In this paper, we apply the newly developed generalised propensity score (GPS) methodology that allows for continuous treatment, that is, different levels of the firms’ export activities. Using the GPS method and a large panel data set for German manufacturing firms, we estimate the relationship between a firm’s export-sales ratio and its labour productivity growth rate. We find that there is a causal effect of firms’ export activities on labour productivity growth. However, exporting improves labour productivity growth only within a sub-interval of the range of firms’ export-sales ratios.
Der vorliegende Forschungsbericht und Bericht über Auslandsbeziehungen 2006 der Fakultät II für Wirtschafts-, Verhaltens- und Rechtwissenschaften ist der erste Forschungsbericht nach Fusion der ehemaligen Universität Lüneburg und der ehemaligen Fachhochschule Nordostniedersachsen. In der neuen Fakultät II wurden der ehemalige Fachbereich Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften (ohne Sozialwissenschaften) der Universität und die ehemaligen Fachbereiche Wirtschaft, Wirtschaftsrecht und Wirtschaftspsychologie der Fachhochschule zusammengefasst.
Zusammenfassend ist zu konstatieren, dass bislang in vielen Unternehmen und Kreditinstituten faktisch eine Diskriminierung älterer Mitarbeiter stattfindet. Eine antizipative Personalentwicklung in Sparkassen muss allerdings den Faktor "Alter" explizit in ihren Strategien berücksichtigen und ein Altersmanagement initiieren. Ein solches Altersmanagement führt wiederum zu einer höheren Arbeitgeberfähigkeit von Sparkassen und macht sie für Arbeitnehmer interessanter. Die diesbezügliche höhere Arbeitgeberfähigkeit gilt explizit auch für jüngere Arbeitnehmer, die vielfach ein Altersmanagement gerade im Hinblick der eigenen Alterung zu schätzen wissen. Erste Ansätze die Ressource älterer Mitarbeiter nicht nur verbal, sondern auch faktisch stärker zu schätzen sind gegenwärting in der wirtschaftlichen Aufschwungphase festzustellen. Wie nachhaltig diese Entwicklung aber ist und ob es sich hierbei wirklich um einen Trendwende handelt, wird wahrscheinlich erst der nächste wirtschaftliche Abschwung zeigen.
This paper discusses a model of vertical and horizontal product differentiation within the Dixit-Stiglitz framework of monopolistic competition. Firms compete not only in prices and horizontal attributes of their products, but also in the quality that can be controlled by R&D activities. Based upon the results of a general equilibrium model, intra-sectoral trade and the welfare implications of public intervention in terms of research promotion are considered. The analysis involves a numerical application to ten basic European industries.
Die Biotechnologie, identifiziert als eine der strategischen Zukunftstechnologien, ist gekennzeichnet durch eine hohe Forschungsintensität mit breiten Anwendungsfeldern. Nach einer seit 2001 andauernden Konsolidierungsphase steht die Branche gegenwärtig vor neuen Herausforderungen: der EU-Osterweiterung sowie der massiv vorangetriebenen Technologiepolitik in den Schwellenländer Indien und China. Einerseits entstehen durch die Integration dieser Wachstumsmärkte neue Forschungs-, Produktions- und Absatzmöglichkeiten, andererseits birgt der steigende Wettbewerbsdruck ein nicht unwesentliches Risiko für die junge deutsche Branche. Der vorliegende Beitrag setzt die Ergebnisse einer 2006 durchgeführten Online-Befragung deutscher BT-Unternehmen in direkten Bezug zur niedersächsischen BT-Industrie. Im zweiten Schritt wird die Analyse durch numerische Simulationen der EU-Erweiterung 2004 im Rahmen der so genannten New Economic Geography ergänzt. Die Analysen zeigen eine Verlagerungstendenz der Biotechnologiebranche in die europäische Peripherie. Diese Tendenz wird jedoch aufgrund von Infrastruktur- und Faktormarktrestriktionen gravierend gedämpft.
This paper analyzes, within a regional growth model, the impact of productive governmental policy and integration on the spatial distribution of economic activity. Integration is understood as enhancing territorial cooperation between the regions, and it describes the extent to which one region may benefit from the other region’s public input, e.g. the extent to which regional road networks are connected. Both integration and the characteristics of the public input crucially affect whether agglomeration arises and if so to which extent economic activity is concentrated: As a consequence of enhanced integration, agglomeration is less likely to arise and concentration will be lower. Relative congestion reinforces agglomeration, thereby increasing equilibrium concentration. Due to the congestion externalities, the market outcome ends up in suboptimally high concentration.
Recent discussions about the evolvement of nanotechnologies criticize that the notion ‘risk’ is too abstract and an all-inclusive category. Moreover, the concept of risk is not precise enough to describe the potential issues related to the development of nanotechnologies. Instead, experts of technological development speak more about risk communication. Within the field of nanotechnologies, they even redefined this expression in February 2005 and related it to the question of the societal acceptance of nanotechnologies. Risk communication is about to gain stakeholder acceptance of policy decisions, whereas public and stakeholders are encouraged to participate actively in the communication process through public consultations, hearings, etc. Thus on the one hand, the category of risk has been pragmatically nuanced in order to better highlight the vulnerability of the communication on nanotechnologies. On the other hand, this vulnerable communication is not the result of a deficit of information. It is based on the idea of participation, where the vulnerability relies on the social groups specialized in the design, the application, and the diffusion of nanotechnologies within society. How is this participation possible, and what does it mean? We develop this question in the framework of a comparative survey on experts that are involved in the deployment of nanotechnologies in Grenoble (France) and Hamburg (Germany).
This paper aims to determine if the contingent valuation method (CVM) can provide valid results useful in policy-making. This will be investigated by using a CV study that captures the willingness to pay (WTP) for the municipal cultural supply in Lueneburg, Germany. In contrast to previous CV studies that included a wide range of descriptive statistics, the empirical analysis of the current study focuses on multivariate analysis to explore the factors associated with the WTP. The results reflect current hypotheses in cultural economics. Thus, higher education levels and higher income are positively correlated with higher WTP. While the results indicate a highly significant impact of non-use values on the WTP for cultural goods across the different regression models, the findings for some variables differ considerably in magnitude across different regression models.
Gemäß Betriebsverfassungsgesetz müssen in Deutschland Betriebe ab einer bestimmten Größe Betriebsräte von ihrer beruflichen Tätigkeit freistellen. Anhand einer Vollerhebung aller betroffenen Betriebe wird in dieser Arbeit der Frage nachgegangen, ob die (mit Kosten verbundene) Freistellung des ersten Betriebsratsmitglieds eine bremsende Wirkung auf die Beschäftigungsdynamik von Betrieben hat. Weiterhin wird untersucht, ob die im Juli 2001 erfolgte Herabsetzung des Schwellenwerts von 300 auf 200 Arbeitnehmer zu einer Veränderung des Beschäftigungswachstums von Betrieben an diesen Schwellen geführt hat. Sowohl deskriptive als auch die ökonometrische Analysen deuten darauf hin, dass weder die alte noch die neue Freistellungsschwelle einen Einfluss auf das Beschäftigungswachstum von Betrieben hatte. Gleiches gilt für die gesetzliche Änderung des Schwellenwerts.
Die vorliegende Längsschnittuntersuchung der BA-geförderten Gründungskohorte des zweiten Halbjahres 2003 im Agenturbezirk Uelzen vergleicht mittels einer schriftlichen Befragung drei Jahre nach Gründungsbeginn schwerpunktmäßig ÜG- und ExGZ-Gründungen hinsichtlich erfolgsbezogener Merkmale. Zusätzlich werden die im Rahmen der Befragung erhobenen Informationen zur Gründungsmotivation, Gründungsvorbereitung, den finanziellen Rahmenbedingungen und der Bedeutung bestimmter Förderbedingungen für die Gründer ausgewertet. Bei einer Rücklaufquote von ca. 19 Prozent liegen 32 verwertbare ÜG- und 43 ExGZ-Fragebögen vor. Zur Überprüfung der Unterschiede von ÜG- und ExGZ-Gründungen werden T-Tests genutzt. Die Ergebnisse bestätigen erneut das Vorliegen einiger signifikanter Unterschiede zwischen ÜG- und ExGZGründungen.
The paper demonstrates how the E–stability principle introduced by Evans and Honkapohja can be applied to models with heterogeneous and private information in order to assess the stability of rational expectations equilibria under learning. The paper extends already known stability results for the Grossman and Stiglitz model to a more general case with many differentially informed agents and to the case where information is endogenously acquired by optimizing agents. In both cases it turns out that the rational expectations equilibrium of the model is inherently E-stable and thus locally stable under recursive least squares learning.
In this paper, we conduct a pan-European efficiency analysis to investigate the performance of European railways with a particular focus on economies of vertical integration. We test the hypothesis that integrated railways realize economies of scope and, thus, produce railway services with a higher level of efficiency. To determine whether joint or separate production is more efficient, we apply a Data Envelopment Analysis super-efficiency bootstrapping model which relates the efficiency for integrated production to a reference set consisting of separated firms which use a different production technology. We find that for a majority of European railways economies of scope exist.